Universidad Chile 2-2 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+11.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.41/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.26
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.5 Crosses 16.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2021 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-2 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
10.09.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-2 HT 0-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
18.10.2019 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
26.05.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-4 HT 1-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
25.11.2018 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
11.02.2018 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-2 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
2-2
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.28 xG 1.26
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
305 Passes 104
74% Pass Accuracy 50%
21 Box Touches 15
37 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile and Deportes Iquique shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 67% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 33%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.28 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.00 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Deportes Iquique?

Universidad Chile 2-2 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 41%, draw 26%, Deportes Iquique 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Universidad Chile) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Over 2.5
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