Union Espanola 1-2 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
1.30/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.58
+56% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.2 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
1W-2D-3L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 Passes 320
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-2 HT 2-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
12.03.2023 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-2 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
20.10.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
14.02.2022 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
07.10.2021 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
23.05.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-2 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
1-2
AWAY U. Catolica
1.44 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
276 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica edged past Union Espanola 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day U. Catolica made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Espanola had 49% of the ball to U. Catolica's 51%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.44 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union Espanola and 2.00 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs U. Catolica?

Union Espanola 1-2 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 40%, draw 24%, U. Catolica 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Espanola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
5 May 2024
19:30 Union La Calera vs Nublense Analysis →
22:00 Universidad Chile vs Deportes Iquique Analysis →