Union La Calera 2-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.22/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.93
+21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.6 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Nublense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
306 Passes 391
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
27.02.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
11.07.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
16.03.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense CSA
09.03.2022 Nublense Nublense 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera CSA
15.02.2022 Nublense Nublense 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
2-1
AWAY Nublense
0.76 xG 0.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
320 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera nicked a narrow win over Nublense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Union La Calera found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union La Calera had 55% of the ball to Nublense's 45%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union La Calera and 0.83 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Nublense?

Union La Calera 2-1 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 36%, draw 29%, Nublense 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union La Calera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
5 May 2024
03:00 Union Espanola vs U. Catolica Analysis →
22:00 Universidad Chile vs Deportes Iquique Analysis →