Copiapo 2-1 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-14.3pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Copiapo EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.48/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.10
+22% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.5 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Copiapo
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Palestino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.18 xG 2.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 322
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Palestino Palestino 3-1 HT 3-1 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
30.07.2023 Palestino Palestino 2-0 HT 0-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİL
11.02.2023 Copiapo Copiapo 1-3 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Copiapo
2-1
AWAY Palestino
2.59 xG 1.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
240 Passes 282
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Copiapo vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Copiapo squeezed past Palestino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Copiapo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Copiapo had 47% of the ball to Palestino's 53%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.59 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Copiapo and 2.67 for Palestino.

What was the final score of Copiapo vs Palestino?

Copiapo 2-1 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Copiapo vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Copiapo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Copiapo 38%, draw 26%, Palestino 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Copiapo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Copiapo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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