Persik Kediri 3-3 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.68/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.93
-48% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persik Kediri
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
237 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
11.12.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 HT 3-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
13.12.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 0-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
10.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
28.11.2021 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
29.02.2020 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 1-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persik Kediri
3-3
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persik Kediri and Persebaya Surabaya couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Persik Kediri had 55% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 45%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Persik Kediri and 1.40 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persik Kediri 3-3 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persik Kediri win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Persik Kediri 36%, draw 32%, Persebaya Surabaya 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persik Kediri) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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