Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.90/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.14
+16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Persik Kediri
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
13.12.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 0-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
10.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
28.11.2021 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
29.02.2020 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 1-1 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya ran out comfortable winners over Persik Kediri 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.50 for Persik Kediri.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?

Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 47%, draw 27%, Persik Kediri 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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