PSIS Semarang 2-1 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Dec 2024

PSIS Semarang
2-1 HT 2-0
Bali United
📅11/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

PSIS Semarang vs Bali United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
31%
-7.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSIS Semarang v Bali United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.01/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.87
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

PSIS Semarang vs Bali United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSIS Semarang
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bali United
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
194 Passes 278
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Bali United Bali United 2-0 HT 1-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
22.12.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-3 HT 0-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
20.02.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
31.10.2021 Bali United Bali United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
15.11.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-0 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1

PSIS Semarang 2-1 Bali United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSIS Semarang
2-1
AWAY Bali United
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSIS Semarang vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSIS Semarang edged past Bali United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bali United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSIS Semarang had 55% of the ball to Bali United's 45%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for PSIS Semarang and 1.20 for Bali United.

What was the final score of PSIS Semarang vs Bali United?

PSIS Semarang 2-1 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIS Semarang vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split PSIS Semarang 23%, draw 32%, Bali United 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bali United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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