Bali United 2-0 PSIS Semarang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 8 Mar 2024

Bali United
2-0 HT 1-0
PSIS Semarang
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Bali United vs PSIS Semarang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bali United v PSIS Semarang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -5%
1.57/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.90
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +65%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bali United vs PSIS Semarang Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY PSIS Semarang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
278 Passes 194
The Meetings
22.12.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-3 HT 0-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
20.02.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
31.10.2021 Bali United Bali United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
15.11.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-0 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1

Bali United 2-0 PSIS Semarang — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bali United
2-0
AWAY PSIS Semarang
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Bali United vs PSIS Semarang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United saw off PSIS Semarang 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bali United had 36% of the ball to PSIS Semarang's 64%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bali United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bali United and 0.25 for PSIS Semarang.

What was the final score of Bali United vs PSIS Semarang?

Bali United 2-0 PSIS Semarang in the Indonesia League 1 on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs PSIS Semarang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bali United 48%, draw 28%, PSIS Semarang 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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