Persik Kediri 4-3 Cilegon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cilegon United EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.33/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.29
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persik Kediri
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cilegon United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
198 Passes 185
10.09.2022 Cilegon United Cilegon United 1-1 HT 1-0 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persik Kediri
4-3
AWAY Cilegon United
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Persik Kediri vs Cilegon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persik Kediri edged past Cilegon United 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persik Kediri as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Persik Kediri had 58% of the ball to Cilegon United's 42%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Persik Kediri vs Cilegon United?

Persik Kediri 4-3 Cilegon United in the Indonesia League 1 on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persik Kediri vs Cilegon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persik Kediri win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Persik Kediri 53%, draw 26%, Cilegon United 22%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persik Kediri), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persik Kediri) ✓ BTTS Yes
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