PSM Makassar 2-1 PSS Sleman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
2.18/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.04
+18% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
266 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
3W-3D-0L
AWAY PSS Sleman
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
159 Passes 340
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
14.01.2023 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 4-0 HT 2-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
23.07.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 1-2 HT 0-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
01.03.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 0-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
18.11.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-2 HT 1-1 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
01.03.2020 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-1 HT 1-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
15.12.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 0-1 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSM Makassar
2-1
AWAY PSS Sleman
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 2
11 Corners 6
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar nicked a narrow win over PSS Sleman 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, PSM Makassar had 35% of the ball to PSS Sleman's 65%, shots finished 10-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PSM Makassar and 0.83 for PSS Sleman.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?

PSM Makassar 2-1 PSS Sleman in the Indonesia League 1 on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 59%, draw 23%, PSS Sleman 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
8 Mar 2024
11:00 Persik Kediri vs Cilegon United Analysis →
15:00 Bali United vs PSIS Semarang Analysis →