Kvik Halden 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.8pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.0pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kvik Halden EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kvik Halden
3-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kvik Halden vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kvik Halden edged past Sarpsborg 08 II 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kvik Halden as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Kvik Halden had 53% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 47%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Kvik Halden vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Kvik Halden 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kvik Halden vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kvik Halden win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kvik Halden 51%, draw 25%, Sarpsborg 08 II 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kvik Halden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kvik Halden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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