Rosenborg II 3-2 Nardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nardo EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.42/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/2.37
-17% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nardo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Nardo Nardo 5-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
23.06.2024 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 0-1 HT 0-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
18.09.2023 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 1-0 HT 1-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
31.07.2023 Nardo Nardo 5-1 HT 4-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
17.08.2022 Nardo Nardo 1-1 HT 0-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
13.08.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 2-3 HT 0-2 Nardo Nardo NOR4
POST-MATCH Rosenborg II vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg II squeezed past Nardo 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Nardo carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nardo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rosenborg II and 2.50 for Nardo.

What was the final score of Rosenborg II vs Nardo?

Rosenborg II 3-2 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg II vs Nardo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg II 26%, draw 19%, Nardo 55%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nardo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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