Kingston City 2-4 Melbourne City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
65%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
3%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
16%
-2.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.1pp
65%
Away Win
66%
-0.8pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.1pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingston City EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 71%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
244 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingston City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Melbourne City II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.02.2024 Kingston City Kingston City 1-1 Melbourne City II Melbourne City II NPL2
POST-MATCH Kingston City vs Melbourne City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II got the better of Kingston City 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne City II as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Kingston City vs Melbourne City II?

Kingston City 2-4 Melbourne City II in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingston City vs Melbourne City II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City II win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kingston City 14%, draw 20%, Melbourne City II 65%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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