Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
18%
7.3
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.45
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.75
X/1
14%
5.97
X/2
16%
4.29
X/X
12%
3.29
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.46
2/X
5%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.8pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-11.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+11.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.8pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 45%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.00/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.78
-25% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
24.7 Crosses 20.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 1.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 371
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 4-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
09.11.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJPBN
13.09.2014 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
25.05.2014 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.36 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
201 Passes 209
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe edged past Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 50% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.36 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 2.00 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?

Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 32%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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