Union Santa Fe 4-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.95
X/1
13%
3.68
X/2
8%
8.96
X/X
17%
3.55
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
8.51
2/X
6%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.4pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.38
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
26.0 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
09.11.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJPBN
13.09.2014 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
25.05.2014 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
4-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.87 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
371 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe swept aside Independiente Rivadavia 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 52% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 48%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.87 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Santa Fe and 0.33 for Independiente Rivadavia.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Union Santa Fe 4-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 41%, draw 31%, Independiente Rivadavia 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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