River Plate 1-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.63
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
16%
4.08
X/2
11%
7.9
X/X
14%
3.99
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
8%
6.65
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.69/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.24
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
22.1 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.17 xG 0.48
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
394 Passes 204
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
07.05.2023 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
11.09.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
21.03.2022 River Plate River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
03.10.2021 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 2-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
05.08.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.40 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
272 Passes 236
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate and Boca Juniors shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, River Plate had 51% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.40 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for River Plate and 0.50 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Boca Juniors?

River Plate 1-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split River Plate 46%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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