Paysandu 2-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.8pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
0.56/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.10
-1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.5 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
3W-0D-3L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
194 Passes 398
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2017 Paysandu Paysandu 0-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
03.06.2017 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
04.11.2015 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-1 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
29.07.2015 Paysandu Paysandu 2-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
30.10.2013 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
07.08.2013 Paysandu Paysandu 0-2 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
2-0
AWAY America Mineiro
1.45 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
227 Passes 226
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu got the better of America Mineiro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day Paysandu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Paysandu had 50% of the ball to America Mineiro's 50%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.45 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paysandu and 1.00 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs America Mineiro?

Paysandu 2-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 31%, draw 33%, America Mineiro 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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