Mirassol FC 3-0 Guarani FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.22
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.28/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.15
-31% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.1 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Guarani FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.74 xG 0.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2024 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
21.10.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
29.06.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
18.03.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
04.02.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BRPL1
13.05.2021 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
3-0
AWAY Guarani FC
0.88 xG 0.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
456 Passes 403
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Guarani FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC swept aside Guarani FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 52% of the ball to Guarani FC's 48%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.88 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mirassol FC and 0.67 for Guarani FC.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Guarani FC?

Mirassol FC 3-0 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Guarani FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 50%, draw 27%, Guarani FC 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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