Sportivo Luqueno 2-6 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 Jun 2024

📅05/06/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.55/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.16
+2% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
31.10.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
15.08.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
03.06.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
02.04.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-2 HT 2-2 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense cruised past Sportivo Luqueno 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Luqueno at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.20 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-6 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 49%, draw 27%, Sportivo Trinidense 25%. The final score 2-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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