Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.79/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.34
+59% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
15.08.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
03.06.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
02.04.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-2 HT 2-2 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno squeezed past Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Luqueno found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 50% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 2.00 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 30%, draw 30%, Sportivo Luqueno 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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