Tacuary 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacuary EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.18/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.24
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacuary
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
08.08.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 2-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
13.05.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
03.03.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-3 HT 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.10.2022 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
24.07.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacuary
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tacuary vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacuary and Sportivo Ameliano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tacuary had 38% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 62%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tacuary and 2.00 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Tacuary vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Tacuary 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacuary vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tacuary 34%, draw 29%, Sportivo Ameliano 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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