İspanya 5-4 Fransa — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — UEFA Nations League, 5 Jun 2025

İspanya WWWDD→
5 - 4 HT 2 - 0
Fransa WWWLW→
📅05/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA Nations League – 2024/2025

İspanya vs Fransa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 23:34
Match Result
Home
39%
2.28
Draw
29%
3.12
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.92
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.84
6+
5%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.46
1/2
2%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
14%
5.32
X/2
12%
6.29
X/X
18%
4.33
2/1
3%
28.5
2/2
18%
4.5
2/X
5%
13.35
PICK this match carries Gold / Silver / Bronze pattern picks — free account to see which outcomes.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

İspanya v Fransa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME İspanya The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Fransa The Market 34%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.52 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Great Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2

İspanya vs Fransa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fransa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.08
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
598 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.07.2024 İspanya İspanya 2-1 HT 2-1 Fransa Fransa AVR
10.10.2021 İspanya İspanya 1-2 HT 0-0 Fransa Fransa AVUL
28.03.2017 Fransa Fransa 0-2 HT 0-0 İspanya İspanya HAZ
04.09.2014 Fransa Fransa 1-0 HT 0-0 İspanya İspanya HAZ
26.03.2013 Fransa Fransa 0-1 HT 0-0 İspanya İspanya DKE
16.10.2012 İspanya İspanya 1-1 HT 1-0 Fransa Fransa DKE

İspanya 5-4 Fransa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
5 - 4
AWAY Fransa
2.88 xG 2.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 453
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
23 Box Touches 43
7 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW İspanya vs Fransa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İspanya squeezed past Fransa 5-4. Half-time: 2-0. A 9-goal game — the defences never settled.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day İspanya made the difference.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

On the day, Fransa saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 16-24, expected goals 2.88 to 2.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for İspanya against 0.83 for Fransa.

İspanya vs Fransa Result & Final Score

İspanya 5 - 4 Fransa in the UEFA Nations League on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

İspanya vs Fransa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split İspanya 39%, draw 29%, Fransa 32%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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