Hong Kong 0-0 Nepal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.33
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
2.07
Over
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.7
2-3
38%
1.8
4-5
21%
3.06
6+
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.7 — our 32% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
71%
-18.7pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.2pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Nepal The Market 14%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.48/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.42
-79% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong
0-0
AWAY Nepal
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hong Kong vs Nepal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong and Nepal fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Hong Kong at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Hong Kong had 55% of the ball to Nepal's 45%, shots finished 17-4.

What was the final score of Hong Kong vs Nepal?

Hong Kong 0-0 Nepal in the Friendlies on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong vs Nepal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hong Kong win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong 52%, draw 28%, Nepal 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hong Kong) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hong Kong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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