Türkiye U21 1-1 Karadağ U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.1
Over
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.82
2-3
36%
1.81
4-5
27%
3.0
6+
11%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.82 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Türkiye U21 win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye U21 The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ U21 The Market 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.91/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.69
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye U21
1-1
AWAY Karadağ U21
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Türkiye U21 vs Karadağ U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye U21 and Karadağ U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Türkiye U21 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Türkiye U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Türkiye U21 1-1 Karadağ U21 in the Friendlies on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye U21 vs Karadağ U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Türkiye U21 55%, draw 22%, Karadağ U21 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Türkiye U21) ✗ Over 2.5
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