AHFC Royals 1-0 Houston Sur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
28%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.2pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.8pp
28%
Away Win
12%
+16.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AHFC Royals EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Sur EU Bookmakers 16%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.64/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.31
-38% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +101%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AHFC Royals
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Houston Sur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.06.2024 Houston Sur Houston Sur 0-3 HT 0-3 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals USL2
12.06.2024 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals 1-0 HT 0-0 Houston Sur Houston Sur USL2
11.07.2023 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals 3-1 HT 1-0 Houston Sur Houston Sur USL2
28.06.2023 Houston Sur Houston Sur 1-2 HT 0-2 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals USL2
24.05.2023 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals 0-1 HT 0-0 Houston Sur Houston Sur USL2
17.07.2022 Houston Sur Houston Sur 3-3 HT 1-2 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals USL2
POST-MATCH AHFC Royals vs Houston Sur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AHFC Royals squeezed past Houston Sur 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AHFC Royals as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AHFC Royals had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AHFC Royals and 1.00 for Houston Sur.

What was the final score of AHFC Royals vs Houston Sur?

AHFC Royals 1-0 Houston Sur in the USA - USL League 2 on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AHFC Royals vs Houston Sur?

Before kick-off our model rated a AHFC Royals win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split AHFC Royals 59%, draw 13%, Houston Sur 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AHFC Royals) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AHFC Royals) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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