Houston Sur 0-3 AHFC Royals — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
62%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.3pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.9pp
62%
Away Win
61%
+0.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Sur EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY AHFC Royals EU Bookmakers 66%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+43% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +25%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Sur
1W-1D-3L
AWAY AHFC Royals
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
12.06.2024 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals 1-0 HT 0-0 Houston Sur Houston Sur USL2
11.07.2023 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals 3-1 HT 1-0 Houston Sur Houston Sur USL2
28.06.2023 Houston Sur Houston Sur 1-2 HT 0-2 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals USL2
24.05.2023 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals 0-1 HT 0-0 Houston Sur Houston Sur USL2
17.07.2022 Houston Sur Houston Sur 3-3 HT 1-2 AHFC Royals AHFC Royals USL2
POST-MATCH Houston Sur vs AHFC Royals
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AHFC Royals swept aside Houston Sur 3-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had AHFC Royals as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, AHFC Royals led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Houston Sur and 1.80 for AHFC Royals.

What was the final score of Houston Sur vs AHFC Royals?

Houston Sur 0-3 AHFC Royals in the USA - USL League 2 on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Sur vs AHFC Royals?

Before kick-off our model rated an AHFC Royals win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Houston Sur 20%, draw 18%, AHFC Royals 62%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AHFC Royals), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AHFC Royals) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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