28/06/2024
·
03:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
RKC vs Thunder Bay Chill Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
25%
Draw
24%
37%
Away Win
37%
47%
Under 2.5
38%
53%
Over 2.5
62%
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
42%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RKC v Thunder Bay Chill — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
RKC
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Thunder Bay Chill
EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-50% /
-50%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+33%
/
-47%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
377 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
312 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
RKC vs Thunder Bay Chill
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Thunder Bay Chill squeezed past RKC 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Thunder Bay Chill made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of RKC vs Thunder Bay Chill?
RKC 0-1 Thunder Bay Chill in the USA - USL League 2 on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RKC vs Thunder Bay Chill?
Before kick-off our model rated a RKC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RKC 38%, draw 25%, Thunder Bay Chill 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (RKC)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
28 Jun 2024