Utah United 2-2 New Mexico United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 28 Jun 2024

Utah United
2-2 HT 1-1
New Mexico United II
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2024

Utah United vs New Mexico United II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utah United v New Mexico United II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utah United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United II EU Bookmakers 33%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +67%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Utah United vs New Mexico United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utah United and New Mexico United II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Utah United vs New Mexico United II?

Utah United 2-2 New Mexico United II in the USA - USL League 2 on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utah United vs New Mexico United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utah United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Utah United 40%, draw 24%, New Mexico United II 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utah United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utah United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL2 More USA - USL League 2
28 Jun 2024
03:00 RKC vs Thunder Bay Chill Analysis →
03:45 Houston Sur vs AHFC Royals Analysis →