Northern Virginia 3-1 Charlottesville Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlottesville Blues EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Virginia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Charlottesville Blues
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
09.06.2024 Charlottesville Blues 3-2 HT 1-1 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia USL2
POST-MATCH Northern Virginia vs Charlottesville Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Virginia beat Charlottesville Blues 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Northern Virginia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Charlottesville Blues?

Northern Virginia 3-1 Charlottesville Blues in the USA - USL League 2 on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Charlottesville Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 42%, draw 24%, Charlottesville Blues 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Virginia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northern Virginia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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