Charlottesville Blues 3-2 Northern Virginia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlottesville Blues EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Charlottesville Blues vs Northern Virginia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlottesville Blues nicked a narrow win over Northern Virginia 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlottesville Blues as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Charlottesville Blues vs Northern Virginia?

Charlottesville Blues 3-2 Northern Virginia in the USA - USL League 2 on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlottesville Blues vs Northern Virginia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlottesville Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Charlottesville Blues 45%, draw 25%, Northern Virginia 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlottesville Blues), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlottesville Blues) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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