Fort Wayne 2-2 Buffalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.9pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fort Wayne EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Buffalo EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fort Wayne vs Buffalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fort Wayne and Buffalo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fort Wayne at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Fort Wayne vs Buffalo?

Fort Wayne 2-2 Buffalo in the USA - USL League 2 on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fort Wayne vs Buffalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fort Wayne win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fort Wayne 56%, draw 21%, Buffalo 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fort Wayne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fort Wayne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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