FC Dallas 3-2 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 Jul 2024

📅05/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
1.37/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.64
-5% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.7 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
392 Passes 315
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
02.04.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
07.08.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
20.03.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-1 HT 3-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
18.07.2021 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
02.05.2021 FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-1 HT 3-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
3-2
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.18 xG 1.49
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
529 Passes 237
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
59 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas edged past Portland Timbers 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Dallas found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 67% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 33%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.18 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Dallas and 1.00 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

FC Dallas 3-2 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 38%, draw 26%, Portland Timbers 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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