Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 Jul 2024

📅05/07/2024 · 🕒05:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.1pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -23%
1.74/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.29
+7% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
19.8 Crosses 14.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.16 xG 2.10
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
474 Passes 290
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
17.09.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
05.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
24.05.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABDK
16.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-3 HT 1-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
21.10.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC squeezed past Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 2.17 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 35%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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