Suwon City 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 Jul 2024

📅05/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 28% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.66
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
12%
7.01
X/2
12%
4.94
X/X
13%
5.04
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
21%
2.86
2/X
10%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.4pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 48%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.43
-2% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.0 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.64 xG 1.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
300 Passes 548
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
24.09.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 2-3 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
06.06.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-3 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
19.03.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
18.09.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
28.05.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City and Ulsan Hyundai shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Suwon City had 35% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 65%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Suwon City and 2.67 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Suwon City 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 31%, draw 30%, Ulsan Hyundai 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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