Östers 0-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
58%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 25% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.07
1/2
4%
21.75
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
9%
10.4
X/2
17%
4.28
X/X
9%
5.76
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
36%
2.08
2/X
4%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
58%
Away Win
57%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 61%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.97/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.37
-32% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +35%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
21.1 Crosses 20.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Mjallby
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
05.10.2019 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
19.05.2019 Östers Östers 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
09.02.2018 Östers Östers 0-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby HAZ
27.07.2013 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.07.2013 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇ
01.07.2007 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
0-1
AWAY Mjallby
1.87 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
320 Passes 376
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 47
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Östers vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby edged past Östers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Östers had 47% of the ball to Mjallby's 53%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 1.87 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Östers and 1.50 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Östers vs Mjallby?

Östers 0-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Östers 23%, draw 20%, Mjallby 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
5 Jul 2025
16:00 GAIS vs Malmö FF Analysis →
18:30 Hammarby vs IFK Varnamo Analysis →