San Miguel 1-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 23%
+19% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.64/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.01
+30% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.03.2025 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 2-1 HT 2-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
03.11.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-0 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel and Deportivo Madryn couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was San Miguel at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Miguel and 1.00 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn?

San Miguel 1-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 44%, draw 33%, Deportivo Madryn 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Miguel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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