Almagro 0-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Jul 2025

Almagro
0-1 HT 0-1
Deportivo Maipu
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almagro v Deportivo Maipu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
0.78/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.82
-24% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
The Meetings
03.03.2025 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 3-1 HT 1-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
19.09.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu edged past Almagro 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Deportivo Maipu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almagro and 1.50 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu?

Almagro 0-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Almagro 35%, draw 33%, Deportivo Maipu 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Almagro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almagro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
5 Jul 2025
00:00 San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn Analysis →
21:00 Los Andes vs Colegiales Analysis →
21:00 San Telmo vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Analysis →