Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2025

Deportivo Maipu
3-1 HT 1-1
Almagro
📅03/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Deportivo Maipu vs Almagro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.4pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Maipu v Almagro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.31/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.48
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Deportivo Maipu vs Almagro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Almagro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
The Meetings
19.09.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu saw off Almagro 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Maipu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Almagro?

Deportivo Maipu 3-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 45%, draw 24%, Almagro 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
3 Mar 2025
01:05 Defensores De Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors Analysis →
02:00 San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes Analysis →
03:15 Deportivo Moron vs Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis →
03:30 Colon vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →