Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒01:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.9pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
0.90/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.01
-20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
05.08.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-2 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
16.03.2024 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-4 HT 1-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
28.06.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
16.11.2019 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 HT 2-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano edged past Chacarita Juniors 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensores De Belgrano as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 1.00 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors?

Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 42%, draw 30%, Chacarita Juniors 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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