San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.4pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.35/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.17
+11% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
27.10.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-2 HT 2-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
09.06.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
24.09.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
16.05.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
27.08.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 4-0 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman and Club Atletico Guemes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 37% / 23% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.60 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes?

San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 40%, draw 37%, Club Atletico Guemes 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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