San Martin Tucuman 2-2 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.41
Over 2.5
29%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.75
No
72%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.7pp
71%
Under 2.5
67%
+4.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
33%
-4.0pp
28%
BTTS Yes
32%
-4.7pp
72%
BTTS No
68%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -22%
1.33/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.25
-1% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
09.06.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
24.09.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
16.05.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
27.08.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 4-0 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman and Club Atletico Guemes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin Tucuman at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.25 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes?

San Martin Tucuman 2-2 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 50%, draw 31%, Club Atletico Guemes 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
27 Oct 2024
00:00 Almirante Brown vs Defensores Unidos Analysis →
21:05 San Martin San Juan vs Racing Cordoba Analysis →
21:05 Quilmes vs San Miguel Analysis →
21:05 Guillermo Brown vs Patronato Analysis →
21:05 Arsenal Sarandi vs Alvarado Analysis →
21:05 Talleres Remedios vs Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis →