Guillermo Brown 1-3 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
0.82/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.17
-16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
0W-5D-0L
AWAY Patronato
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
09.06.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
10.06.2023 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
04.02.2023 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
23.09.2015 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
07.05.2015 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato beat Guillermo Brown 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Patronato made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Guillermo Brown and 0.20 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Patronato?

Guillermo Brown 1-3 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guillermo Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 35%, draw 32%, Patronato 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guillermo Brown) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
27 Oct 2024
00:00 Almirante Brown vs Defensores Unidos Analysis →
02:00 San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes Analysis →
21:05 San Martin San Juan vs Racing Cordoba Analysis →
21:05 Quilmes vs San Miguel Analysis →
21:05 Arsenal Sarandi vs Alvarado Analysis →
21:05 Talleres Remedios vs Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis →