27/10/2024
·
21:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Quilmes vs San Miguel Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
36%
Draw
32%
39%
Away Win
52%
60%
Under 2.5
67%
40%
Over 2.5
33%
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
60%
BTTS No
63%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Quilmes v San Miguel — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Quilmes
EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY
San Miguel
EU Bookmakers 56%
+64% /
+64%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
+16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
4
233 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Quilmes vs San Miguel Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Quilmes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
San Miguel
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Quilmes vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Quilmes and San Miguel shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 36% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Quilmes vs San Miguel?
Quilmes 1-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Quilmes vs San Miguel?
Before kick-off our model rated an San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 25%, draw 36%, San Miguel 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Miguel), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (San Miguel)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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27 Oct 2024