San Miguel 1-0 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒21:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 30%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +27%
2.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.98
+72% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel edged past Quilmes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day San Miguel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Quilmes?

San Miguel 1-0 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 39%, draw 33%, Quilmes 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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