Almagro 2-2 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.48
Over 2.5
30%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
64%
+6.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
36%
-6.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.2pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
0.81/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.08
-27% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
01.10.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 4-3 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
20.05.2023 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.06.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
16.02.2020 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro and Gimnasia Mendoza couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Almagro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Almagro and 1.50 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Almagro 2-2 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Almagro 41%, draw 27%, Gimnasia Mendoza 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almagro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
8 Jun 2024
21:00 Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario Argentino Analysis →
21:00 Defensores De Belgrano vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis →
21:10 San Miguel vs Quilmes Analysis →
21:20 All Boys vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →