Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 8 Jun 2024

Defensores De Belgrano
1-0 HT 1-0
Gimnasia Y Tiro
📅08/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Defensores De Belgrano vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.41
Over 2.5
29%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-11.6pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
71%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensores De Belgrano v Gimnasia Y Tiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.07/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.60
-18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +107%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 36% / 27%) promised a tight game; Defensores De Belgrano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 37%, draw 36%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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