Almirante Brown 1-1 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.5pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Defensores Unidos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
09.06.2024 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
09.07.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
05.03.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown and Defensores Unidos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Almirante Brown carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Almirante Brown and 0.00 for Defensores Unidos.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Defensores Unidos?

Almirante Brown 1-1 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almirante Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 55%, draw 26%, Defensores Unidos 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Almirante Brown), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almirante Brown) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
27 Oct 2024
02:00 San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atletico Guemes Analysis →
21:05 San Martin San Juan vs Racing Cordoba Analysis →
21:05 Quilmes vs San Miguel Analysis →
21:05 Guillermo Brown vs Patronato Analysis →
21:05 Arsenal Sarandi vs Alvarado Analysis →
21:05 Talleres Remedios vs Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis →