Defensores Unidos 0-1 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 28%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.61/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
+27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Almirante Brown
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
09.07.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-1 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
05.03.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown nicked a narrow win over Defensores Unidos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Defensores Unidos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Defensores Unidos and 0.50 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs Almirante Brown?

Defensores Unidos 0-1 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 43%, draw 31%, Almirante Brown 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensores Unidos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensores Unidos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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