Alvarado 2-1 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.38
Over 2.5
30%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.44
No
68%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
69%
+1.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
31%
-1.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
37%
-4.5pp
68%
BTTS No
63%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.36/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/0.86
+8% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado squeezed past Arsenal Sarandi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alvarado as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Alvarado 2-1 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 49%, draw 31%, Arsenal Sarandi 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvarado) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvarado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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