Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 9 Jun 2024

Deportivo Maipu
1-0 HT 1-0
Estudiantes Caseros
📅09/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Deportivo Maipu vs Estudiantes Caseros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.38
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.38
Over 2.5
29%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
38%
-9.2pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
71%
Under 2.5
69%
+2.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
31%
-2.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Maipu v Estudiantes Caseros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +8%
1.24/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.00
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Deportivo Maipu vs Estudiantes Caseros Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-0 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
29.04.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
14.05.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
10.09.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
30.04.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu edged past Estudiantes Caseros 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 38% / 33% — and on the day Deportivo Maipu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 0.60 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 29%, draw 38%, Estudiantes Caseros 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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